There will be no 1940 here – we now have our own art of war - Zeme un valsts

There will be no 1940 here – we now have our own art of war

The aggressor state of Russia, while nurturing hopes of imperial restoration, has time to understand – Latvia and its people will no longer allow the harsh lesson of 1940, when the aggressor state's troops were let into our country without resistance. Both the atrocities of foreign powers experienced during the occupation and Russia's recent war crimes in Ukraine have convinced Latvian society to resist any invasion ruthlessly. Furthermore, when thinking about potential Russian aggression, Latvia has developed its own art of war, which, hopefully, will never need to be applied.

This is what Airis Rikveilis, State Secretary of the Ministry of Defence, said in the “Droši ir zināt” podcast by the portal “Sargs.lv” when discussing recent, increasingly loud warnings about the possibility of Russia expanding its aggressive actions towards NATO countries.

He explained that Latvia has lived in the constant shadow of the Russian threat since the restoration of independence. Its bloody and dictatorial regime has always been the greatest threat both to Latvian statehood and to society as a whole.

As the State Secretary admitted, in order to understand how to most effectively face potential Russian aggression, the National Armed Forces have, since regaining independence, carefully analysed lessons from every conflict in which Russia has been involved.

“We know perfectly well how Russia makes war. We have studied this issue to the bone,” said A. Rikveilis.

The expert emphasised that in order to subjugate its opponent, Russia will make maximum use of psychological warfare, deploying operations at various levels to break the opponent's will to resist and instill the thought that any resistance is futile.

Expressions of such operations are already visible on social media, where anonymous users and those openly sympathetic to Russia cite the numerical superiority of the Russian armed forces as one of their main arguments, thus attempting to prove that the outcome of a conflict will be decided before it even begins.

The dissemination of these and similar narratives is in the direct interests of the Kremlin, intended to break the victim's consciousness, intimidate them, and force them to surrender even before a fight. However, Russia's recent military adventure in Ukraine proved that a country that is smaller both geographically and in terms of population, but democratically governed, can effectively resist an aggressor.

“The example of Ukraine clearly demonstrates that our relative numerical minority should not immediately be perceived as a guaranteed outcome in a potential military conflict. [..] In democracies, there is always a slightly sceptical attitude towards how we will be able to manage against a superior force, but it is precisely democracies that always fight best, especially when they are going through their most difficult periods or when it seems that nothing else is possible,” said A. Rikveilis.

Secondly, the State Secretary of the Ministry of Defence reminded that Latvia is a NATO member state and, in the event of a potential conflict with Russia, in addition to the support of allied forces, the alliance's reinforcement system will be available, which currently has no alternative in the world in terms of speed and efficiency.

Thirdly, both historical memory and the atrocities committed by the occupiers in Ukraine compel Latvian society to fight against a seemingly larger aggressor.

“We have been neighbours to this bloody state for decades and hundreds of years. We know clearly what to expect from them. We know how worthless any person they throw into an attack is in their eyes. We have developed our own art of war for this, which we have successfully mastered. It will be seen at the moment if it has to be applied, though, God forbid, that it should ever come to that. But I am absolutely convinced that if the situation requires it, it will work,” said A. Rikveilis.

He also emphasised that he believes in Latvian society and knows that the majority will go and fight for their loved ones, their homes, and their country.

“The Russians must understand – there will be no 1940 here! We will fight if only because we know and see what they are doing to people in the occupied territories of Ukraine,” he said.

In turn, A. Rikveilis advised Latvian residents to carefully follow the hygiene of their information space, not relying on psychological and informational influence operations deployed on social media, in which, through seemingly credible publications, the enemy attempts to erode public morale and sow chaos, including by reinforcing messages about preparations for further escalation of the conflict with Western countries.

He advised the public to view all of Russia's actions as the attempts of a maniac to ruin the lives of their neighbours by any means necessary.

“The maniac's desire is to change our way of life. That is exactly why the maniac is trying to intimidate us all. He hopes that, first of all, we will be afraid, that we will walk down the street looking over our shoulders, that we will change our behaviour because of him. He hopes that we will fall into a state of panic, make irrational decisions, and spin a spiral of chaos. He hopes that we will give in to panic, run to shops, buy out goods, withdraw money from bank accounts, buy extra fuel, and even get into our cars to go somewhere aimlessly. That is one of the goals of Russian propaganda and psychological operations. That is why we must absorb this flow of information in absolute, stoic calm, understanding that none of this will happen,” the State Secretary emphasised.

At the same time, he emphasised that every member of society must take care of their individual and the collective resilience of society, by preparing not only a 72-hour bag, but also building the necessary reserves so as to be able to weather not only natural disasters and technogenic crises, but also be ready for security threat situations.

He noted that in recent years, services and the state administration system have improved procedures for handling emergency situations every year. Therefore, if anyone has doubts about what to do in such a situation, it will be clearly stated at the moment when it is necessary.

“Those who have duties to the state and society must primarily go to perform their duties at their place of work or service. Those who do not know what to do must rely solely and exclusively on information provided by official state sources. There are not that many such sources in the Republic of Latvia. Primarily, these are the Crisis Management Centre, the Ministry of Defence, and the relevant state officials tasked by law to provide specific statements,” explained A. Rikveilis.

“Those who do not know what to do should turn on the radio and listen to what recommendations and tasks the legitimate state power structures give. Latvian residents should not listen to anyone else, no matter what political slogan they come with or what uniform they are dressed in,” the State Secretary of the Ministry of Defence emphasised.

Full recording of the conversation with Airis Rikveilis in the “Droši ir zināt” podcast:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JzhCc7wI3wc

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